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Wednesday, August 21, 2019

Broadmarsh Centre over 70% occupied – says intu in trading update

PUBLISHED:

Since starting the project, intu says it has increased the number of units exchanged or in advanced negotiations from 45 per cent to over 70 per cent.

intu’s UK portfolio is made up of 17 centres, including eight of the top-20, and in Spain it owns three of the country’s top-10 centres, with advanced plans to build a fourth.

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On intu Broadmarsh the trading update for the period from 1 January 2019 to 2 May 2019 states:

Other points included plans to reduce loan value:

  • priority to provide headroom and reduce loan to value from 53.1 per cent at 31 December 2018 to back below 50 per cent over time, through:
  • retaining cash generated from operations within the business, with no final dividend paid for 2018
  • disposals and part-disposals of assets both in the UK and Spain
  • reduction in capital expenditure pipeline, with investment focused on winning destinations
  • introduced a new long-term equity partner, creating a joint venture to dispose of 50 per cent of intu Derby for £186 million, in line with the December 2018 valuation. The closing of the transaction is subject completing senior debt finance and is expected to reduce loan to value by around 1 per cent
  • proceeds from disposal will be used to repay some of the debt maturing in 2021. This will include changes to SGS asset structure with intu Derby being removed and loan to value reduced back to tier 1 at 55 per cent (December 2018: 57 per cent)
  • continuing to explore the disposal options on our Spanish centres. Discussions ongoing with our partners and further inbound interest received
  • considering refinancing the legacy intu Trafford Centre debt to reduce the cost of debt and remove amortisation payments which increase over the coming years. Refinancing would incur associated break costs but simplify the structure and increase optionality for any potential part disposal of the centre at a future date
  • cash and available facilities of £539 million at 31 March 2019 and loan to value of 53.1 per cent, based on December 2018 property valuations with net external debt unchanged in the quarter
  • substantial covenant headroom. For example, a 10 per cent fall in capital values from the December 2018 valuations would only require a debt prepayment of £1 million

And on projects and development

  • we have reduced our capital expenditure pipeline as part of balance sheet priorities, but continue to ensure our ongoing projects complete on time and on budget
  • completed £72 million leisure extension at intu Lakeside with fitting out now in progress for a phased opening. Hollywood Bowl was the first to open in March 2019 and all units in the development are now either exchanged or in advanced negotiations and in line with our rental expectations
  • commenced construction of the £89 million regeneration of intu Broadmarsh. Since starting the project, we have increased the number of units exchanged or in advanced negotiations from 45 per cent to over 70 per cent
  • evaluating mixed-use opportunities which include residential, hotels and other uses. We continue to advance the residential scheme at intu Lakeside and we have undertaken a more detailed review of hotel opportunities across the portfolio which has identified seven sites with potential for around 850 rooms
  • identified other high impact, low cost mixed-use opportunities relating to office, flexible working spaces, business lounge and service-oriented uses that could generate attractive incremental returns to our current rental income stream

On like-for-like rental incomes

 

  • basis of preparation of like-for-like net rental income guidance has been moderated in the period. We have revised our approach and are now including assumptions on the outcomes of potential future CVAs
  • anticipate that like-for-like net rental income for 2019 will be down by 4 to 6 per cent. The outcome is expected to be down more in the first half of 2019, given the stronger comparative, and less so in the second half of the year
  • change from the guidance given at the year-end is due to a higher expected level of CVAs in the rest of 2019 and a slow-down in completing new lettings
  • expect CVAs to run at a higher level than in 2018 with some potential restructurings being well publicised. Generally, we are a net beneficiary of a CVA process over the medium-term as tenants’ stores in our centres are typically among their best performing, but we review the merits of each proposal in turn to ensure it does not impact our relationships with our existing tenant base
  • occupancy impacted by slow-down in completion of new lettings over the last few months as tenants delay decisions driven by a combination of continued Brexit uncertainty and awaiting the outcome of some high profile potential CVAs
  • Debenhams, who account for 3 per cent of our rent roll, announced a CVA last week. They have announced the closure of 22 of their 166 stores, none of which are in intu centres.

Matthew Roberts, intu’s new Chief Executive, said of the group:

“I am delighted to have officially started in my role as Chief Executive of intu.

“As previously disclosed, my priority is to reduce our loan to value to below 50 per cent and our plans to achieve this are underway. Our recent sale of a 50 per cent interest in intu Derby at book value is a positive first step in this regard.

“Our operational performance in the quarter has been stable. We have continued to see good letting activity with 53 long-term leases signed amounting to £6 million of annual rent at an average of 1 per cent above previous passing rent. These include new types of tenants such as Metro Bank at Manchester Arndale, exciting new catering concepts with Market Halls at intu Lakeside and an expanding leisure attraction at intu Metrocentre with Namco’s mini golf and a climbing attraction.

“However, we expect the remainder of 2019 to be challenging due to a higher than expected level of CVAs and a slowdown in new lettings as tenants delay their decisions due the uncertainties in the current political and retail environments. As such, we have revised our approach to how we guide towards our year-end like-for-like net rental income to factor in expected CVAs and have adjusted our 2019 guidance accordingly to minus four to six per cent.

“Despite the current operating environment, I believe we have a very good business and am confident we can meet the challenges we are facing head on. I look forward to updating the market on strategy alongside our interim results in July.”

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